Interprovincial Migration

Originally posted 28 June 2016

The table below shows quarterly net interprovincial migration since 1970. Alberta historically has received more migrants than most provinces. The chart shows the fluctuations and illustrates that during the oil price crash in the 1980s, many people left the province. During the last two quarters Alberta has experienced a net outflow.What must concern policy-makers and Alberta-based lenders is that a loss of population or a flattening of population will reduce demand for housing, retail goods, and services. For governments, fewer people mean less taxes, vehicle registrations, and other fees.  It also means the demand for government services may fall bringing into question the need for additional infrastructure, a cornerstone of the province’s fiscal strategy. Even with out-migration, the province’s population may grow with the natural increase in the population (births-deaths).

cansim-0510017-eng-1115971039540642417_6151_image001

Interprovincial migration swings to the plus side in third quarter22-12-17 EJ

Edmonton population-899,447 and growing1-9-16 EJ

This entry was posted in Demographics on by .

About albertarecessionwatch

Former Director, Institute for Public Economics, University of Alberta and currently Fellow of the Institute. Former executive with Alberta Treasury Branches. Worked for the Alberta government for 12 years with Federal and Intergovernmental Affairs and Alberta Treasury. Areas of focus: financial institutions legislation and policy, government borrowing, and relations with credit rating agencies. Ph.D in Political Science (Uof A), Masters of Public Administration and BComm. (Carleton University). Author of Politics and Public Debt: The Dominion, the Banks and Alberta's Social Credit. Presently working on study of Alberta provincial agency board appointments.

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